- Authors - Alexander Betts- political scientist, Paul Collier- Economist.
- There goal' has been to writes for a generalist audience , to engage intelligent and interested member of the public keen to understand the origins of the ' refugee crisis' and explore with us ideas for a workable solution.'
- ' It seeks to rock with the constraints and opportunities of the contemporary world and channel them into a system that can provide refugees with autonomy and dignity.'
- 2015, spark in large refugee numbers coming from the poorest parts of the world to some of the richest.
- Mass violence in Syrian 2011- the civilians involved mainly moved to countries like Jordan , Lebanon and Turkey, however this then offers limited options.
- Only when 700 people drowned crossing to Lampedusa ( Italian island) did the media start to pay attention and claim it to be a ' global refugee crisis.'
- Total that year 3,000 from drowning.
- Migrant Smuggling- by gangs.
- 2016 Europe effectively dose it's doors.
- Not allowed work.
The purpose of refuge:
- 1648- treaty of Westphalia- ' refuge entails..., when face serious harm at home , they should be allowed to flee and receive access to a safe haven , at least until they can go home or be permanently reintegrated else where.'
- Cold War Iron curtain-
- 'Eurocentrasim'
- the rules apply to the people fleeing from persecution but not disorder.
- UNHCR (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees) built camps, but they unincidentally turned into percent resting places.
- '...refuge is about fulfilling a duty of rescue. Born out of out common humanity, it is based on the simple recognition that we have shared obligation towards our fellow human beings.
- Entitiled to expect 3 things: rescue, autonomy ' route out of limbo.'
- 'Contary to popular belief , most refugees are not in camps, over half now live in large cities like Nairobi, Johannesburgh.
- Half world's refugees in ' protracted refugee situations.' Two decades average stay-'people are born into camps, grow up in camps and become adults in camps.'
- lack of support from international community.
The need for a new approach"
- Status quo changing.
- Cold War: Extremist religions has replaces extremist ideologies.
- 'It has to be about restoring people's autonomy through jobs and education...'
- Different models for different countries. not one size fits all.
- Dag Hammarskjold- ' was not created to take mankind to heaven, but to save humanity from hell.'
Part 1 - Why is there a crisis? :
- To be a refugee you have to cross an international border however many who are fleeing the violence are not in a position to do that so they are Displaced NOT Refugee.
- number of people displaced - 65.3 million.
- 'Global modernity has not only produced technological miracles like the iPhone , and more than 1, 800 billionaires , it has broken all records for the human tragedies that constitute displacement.'
- Rich ge richer and the poor get poorer concept ?
what drives refugee displacement ?
- 'people seeking refuge are not fleeing poverty , they are fleeing danger.'
- 1935-45 - rise of fascim- dangerous for Jews.
- Creating huge civilian dislocation.
- society collapse into mass violence.
- Legitimacy
- Fragility.
- Democracy
- Libya- Colonel Gaddafi.
- Gaddafi over throne , country did not develop but defended into violent rivalry.
- 'A third factor leading to increases in fragility is technology.'
- tear gas, phone tapping.
- social media.
- chance forms of social protest.
- Obama- Yes we can! campain.
- social media confronted state violence.
- links countries and people together.
- Another factor price of natural resources ' super cycle.' - up to 2013.
- Nicolas Berman- geo-referenced all the mineral resources extracted in Africa , unlike them geographically to outbreaks of organised violence...'
- Arab Spring- linked claimed partially to the super cycle.
Islamic Extremism:
- less military more exposed to far worse mass violence.
- Mass violence , lack of milliarty , ISIS.
- 'fat tail phenomenon'?
- ISIS- situation greatly amplified by Russian bombing.
- Yemen - worst global displace meant of 2015.
- extreme example for flight, German Jews.
- Boko Haram.
- Refugees are not migrants.
- Top countries that refugees flee to in the past 4 decades:
- Pakistan.
- Iran.
- Ethiopia
- kenya
- Uganda.
- Tanzania.
- all countries of emigration but also close by.
- key message for these part-
- 'The underlying process of refugee generation is clear enough: a large group of fragile states is each exposed to a small but significant risk that it will implode into mass violence against civilians that generates displacement . Many of these displace will probably remain in their own countries , but many others will seek havens beyond the borders.'
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